英國大選全英國都「懸」了，但玩脫了的梅姨表示：我還要再干五年！

最新 06-11

「Make June the end of May.」

六月到來，而姓「五月」(May) 的英國首相「梅姨」特雷莎·梅 (Theresa May)，大概迎來了自己的水逆月……

先是前幾天在英國和倫敦輪番發生的恐怖襲擊，令梅姨焦頭爛額；然後，在自己提出的英國提前大選中，梅姨領導的保守黨又將大量議會席位輸給了工黨，失去了在議會中原有的優勢。

大選前一直自信滿滿的梅姨，這下感覺真玩大了……

難道，就沒有什麼能破解水逆的方法？

有有有！就是樓下這個北愛爾蘭民主統一黨 (Democratic Unionist Party) 而這個名不見經傳的小黨，的確也成為了梅姨最後的救命稻草……

這究竟是怎麼一回事？我們還得從昨天新鮮出爐的大選結果開始說起

（對於此番英國大選前情不甚了解的盆友，可以戳如下視頻進行科普）

在此次大選中，梅姨領導的保守黨贏得318個議席，反對黨工黨贏得262個議席，剩下的席位被一些小黨瓜分。但無論是哪個黨派，都沒能獲得議會超出半數的席位。

由於這局沒人勝出，英國再次出現了「懸浮議會」(Hung Parliament)。

所謂「懸浮議會」，是指在議會制國家中，沒有任何一個政黨在議會取得絕對多數。而一旦出現懸浮議會，通常會由籌組聯合政府、組建少數派政府或重新選舉等三種方式來解決。

2010年英國大選就曾出現「懸浮議會」局面，當時第一大黨保守黨與自民黨合作組成聯合政府。

When no single party can get enough MPs to form a majority on its own the Parliament is said to be "hung". This happened at the 2010 general election.

總之，一切都在朝著梅姨不可預估的方向前進著。先前，梅姨本想通過發起提前大選這招，令保守黨獲得更多席位，鞏固其在議會中的實力，為她接下來的脫歐談判增加信心。

理想是美好的，而現實卻……現如今，連能不能繼續坐上這首相的位子都成了未知數……

和前隊友·卡梅倫一樣，梅姨這下也把自己給玩脫了……

那麼，接下來會發生什麼呢？BBC專門發了一篇長文進行解釋

In a hung parliament, the Conservative government will remain in office - and Theresa May can live in Downing Street - until it is decided who will attempt to form a new government or unless she decides to resign.

在「懸浮議會」的情況下，保守黨政府目前仍然掌權 —— 特雷莎·梅也能繼續留在唐寧街 —— 直到確定誰能組建一個新政府，或是她決定辭職。

（然而梅姨已經先行表態不會辭職，稱國家需要穩定……）

There may be a frenzied round of talks between the party leaders and their negotiating teams, as they try to put together another coalition government or a looser deal to put either Mrs May or Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn (the only two people with a realistic chance) into power as prime minister.

政黨領袖及其談判團隊將會展開一輪輪瘋狂談判，他們會嘗試組建聯合政府，或約定，梅或工黨領袖傑里米·科爾賓（最有可能的兩人）成為首相。

Or one of the two party leaders could opt to go it alone and try to run a minority government, relying on the support of smaller parties when needed to get their laws passed.

或者，這兩位政黨領袖可以選擇自己政黨獨挑大樑，嘗試組建一個少數派政府，但在以後通過法律時，需要依靠其他小黨支持。

而在現有的形勢下，在一系列小黨派中，梅姨只能和政見比較相似的北愛爾蘭民主統一黨(DUP)進行談判合作，從而獲得議會超過半數席位的支持。

當然，如果梅姨他們談判失敗，科爾賓領導的工黨也完全有可能組建少數派政府執政，但在現今形式下，這個概率比較小。

The two parties are currently in discussion, DUP leader Arlene Foster said. And the Conservatives, as the government in power before the general election, get the first attempt at forming an administration.

In theory, if they fail to secure DUP backing, Labour could attempt to form its own minority government. But this is unlikely.

所以，現在DUP這個來自北愛爾蘭的小黨，一下成為了大選的關鍵，就連英國《每日郵報》(Daily Mail)，都稱他們為「造王者」(kingmaker)

「我們忽然就變得很重要了呢」：DUP發起新一陣影響力，大選令這個北愛小黨成為了造王者。

而說干就干行動力滿分的梅姨，在大選結果大勢已定的當天早上，就找上了DUP黨的領袖進行談判。

幾小時後，梅姨就風風火火地跑去見了女王，要求女王給予她組建新政府的權利！

（這也真是太快了點啊喂……）

在覲見完女王陛下後，梅姨便在首相府外，發表了簡短的聲明，表示要和好盆友DUP一起，就脫歐一事進行合作，要組建一個能提供確定性的政府，在關鍵時刻領導國家向前。

（這英劇簡直一小時更新一集的節奏，正在碼字的世紀君口吐白沫……）

In a short statement outside Downing Street after an audience with the Queen, Mrs May said she would join with her DUP "friends" to "get to work" on Brexit.

Referring to the "strong relationship" she had with the DUP but giving little detail of how their arrangement might work, she said she intended to form a government which could "provide certainty and lead Britain forward at this critical time for our country".

雖然梅姨已經以最快速度現身表態，自己仍將擔任首相併會組建新政府，但似乎，也並非所有人都買賬……

首先一大壓力便來自她所領導的保守黨內部，黨內不少議員認為，梅姨此番大選「豪賭」，令保守黨丟掉在議會中的多數優勢，強烈要求她引咎辭職……

Furious Tory MPs last night threatened to oust Theresa May within six months after her disastrous election campaign.

They demanded the resignation of Mrs May s closest aides, and amid reports the PM had to be talked out of resigning early yesterday, some ministers said she would be forced from office in months.

而在大選中狠挫保守黨銳氣的工黨估計也不會善罷甘休，大選後一直面露喜色的工黨領袖科爾賓已經喊話梅姨下台，並稱工黨已經準備好「為這個國家服務」(serve the country)！

Jeremy Corbyn yesterday said Labour are ready to serve this country and form a minority government - but said they would do no deals and no pacts .

The left-wing leader defied expectations to deny Theresa May a majority - and has called for the humiliated PM to resign.

And he said he is already drawing up plans to try to form a minority government to enact his socialist agenda.

感覺梅姨的首相之路，會走的十分艱險啊……

總之，梅姨要保住相位，下一個關鍵節點在6月13日。

At the moment the first deadline is Tuesday 13 June, when the new Parliament meets for the first time. Mrs May has until this date to put together a deal to keep herself in power or resign, according to official guidance issued by the Cabinet Office.

目前首個時間節點是6月13日，屆時新議會將會進行首次碰面。根據內閣辦公室的官方指導文件，梅姨在那之前要麼（和其他黨派）達成約定讓她繼續掌權，要麼就得辭職。

然後接下來的下一場考驗是，6月19日議會開幕時的「女王演講」(Queen』s Speech)。

（小科普：女王將在新一屆議會開幕儀式上，公布新政府施政與立法計劃）

The government needs to see if it can assemble the votes it needs to get its programme of proposed new laws passed in the Queen s Speech, which is scheduled for Monday 19 June.

新政府要看自己能否獲得足夠多的選票，令今年6月19日「女王演講」中所提出的新施政方案獲得通過。

但這一切，都得看DUP靠不靠譜了……

（這些DUP議員深切地感到了自己的存在感）

上頭已經亂成了一鍋粥，而此時此刻已經投完票的英國吃瓜群眾卻表示，反正也不知道會是誰當首相，不如多刷幾個表情包，順帶對梅姨開啟了冷嘲熱諷模式……

Gary Lineker heads a list of social media users who are mocking Mrs May over the poll results.

The Match Of The Day presenter tweeted that Theresa May has won own goal of the season after troubling numbers for the Tories, in what could be an extraordinary night of voting.

Social media exploded at the broadcasters figures, with the likes of Piers Morgan, Harriet Harman and Martin Lewis also having their say.

Others have been posting pictures of toast on Twitter as a reference to Theresa May s job prospects come tomorrow morning.

英國著名主持人加里·萊因克爾 (Gary Lineker) 首先展開吐槽：梅姨「贏了」