收藏藝術品：2019將成為上流社會實物資產配置新寵

從中國經濟發展戰略來看，粵港澳大灣區的概念並不能算是一個太新鮮的事物，早在2003年6月，內地與香港就簽署了《內地與香港關於建立更緊密經貿關係的安排》（CEPA），粵港澳聯動發展的框架就已經有所體現，而此次規劃綱要的出台可能更像是CEPA的全面升級版，對於眼下的中國而言，具有更加重大的意義。

As far as China"s economic development strategy is concerned, the concept of the Great Bay Area of Guangdong, Hong Kong and Macao is not a new thing. As early as June 2003, the Mainland and Hong Kong signed the Agreement on Establishing Closer Economic and Trade Relations between the Mainland and Hong Kong (CEPA). The framework of Guangdong, Hong Kong and Macao"s linkage development has already been reflected, and the introduction of this planning outline may be more like a comprehensive upgrade version of CEPA. For China at present, it is of even greater significance.

近兩年來，中國的經濟增長開始明顯放緩，隨著人口老齡化問題的逐漸突出以及經濟結構發生調整，人口紅利正在消退，傳統依靠投資和貿易拉動的經濟增長模式也在逐漸失去一直以來的效率。而中國為了進一步穩定經濟增長，除了依靠內需消費來拉動外，還需要一到兩個新的經濟增長極，為中國未來的經濟增長尋找方向，帶動中國經濟轉型的進一步深化。而大灣區概念的全面推行就起到了這樣一個作用。

投資環境自由、市場制度完善是香港受到世界各地投資者青睞的主要原因，也是國際資本市場對接中國資本市場的重要窗口和信道，自滬港通以來，兩地越來越多的金融市場互聯互通都得到了快速的發展。而隨著全球跨境資產配置需求的與日俱增和大灣區跨境投資管道的日漸通暢，未來香港更加全面的投資方式和更加多樣化的投資目標將會在境內外資產配置和資產管理市場佔據越來越重要的位置。

一直以來，股票、基金、債券等傳統的投資品類都是最受市場接受的投資方式，但隨著全球經濟的快速發展，多元化資產配置成為了資本市場的新趨勢，這些傳統而單一的投資方式已經越來越難以滿足市場的需求，而以藝術品和名酒等收藏品為代表的實物資產作為資產配置的另類類別，開始快速崛起，在資產配置領域中吸引到了越來越多的目光。

Over the past two years, China"s economic growth has slowed down markedly. With the gradual prominence of population aging and the adjustment of economic structure, the demographic dividend is fading, and the traditional economic growth model driven by investment and trade is gradually losing its efficiency. In order to further stabilize economic growth, China needs one or two new economic growth poles besides domestic demand and consumption to find the direction for China"s future economic growth and promote the further deepening of China"s economic transformation. The comprehensive implementation of the concept of Dawan District has played such a role.

Free investment environment and perfect market system are the main reasons why Hong Kong is favored by investors all over the world. They are also important windows and channels for the international capital market to connect with China"s capital market. Since Shanghai and Hong Kong Stock Exchange, more and more financial markets in both places have developed rapidly. With the increasing global demand for cross-border asset allocation and the smooth flow of cross-border investment pipelines in the Great Bay Area, Hong Kong"s more comprehensive investment methods and diversified investment objectives will be achieved in the future.

俗語有云，亂世買黃金，盛世買古董。隨著中國經濟的持續向好，收藏品市場曾經掀起了幾輪高潮，收藏品投資市場也隨之興起，吸引了大量的投資者將其作為資產配置的手段之一參與其中。不少先知先覺的收藏品交易市場都重新建基於香港，尋求更加穩定、健康、可持續的發展。而香港也確實為收藏品市場提供了良好的發展環境，在拍賣這個傳統行業之外，逐漸形成了收藏品交易這樣一個全新的流通領域。

有了穩定而健康的發展環境，在中國整體經濟持續穩定增長的大背景下，境外收藏品市場的氣氛與境內的市場寒冬形成了鮮明的對比。近日，在A股回暖的刺激下，境外收藏品市場更是迎來了一波小陽春。實際上，如果將市場的周期放長來看，雖然境外收藏品市場在近幾年來取得了快速的發展，但整個行業依然處在發展初期，而藏品市場的整體估值與歷史高位相比也還處在較低的水平。作為資產配置的另類管道，境外的收藏品交易市場值得關注。

自全球經濟復甦以來，各國或多或少都採取了貨幣寬鬆政策，筆者一直強調「新經濟常態下，市場最不缺的是錢，最缺的是能流通的實物資產」這一觀點，而郵票、錢幣和藝術品這類收藏品正是「能流通的實物資產」的典型代表。

As the saying goes, "Buy gold in troubled times and antiques in prosperous times". With the continuous improvement of China"s economy, the collection market has set off several rounds of climax, and the collection investment market has also risen, attracting a large number of investors to participate in it as one of the means of asset allocation. Many prophetic collections trading markets have been rebuilt in Hong Kong to seek more stable, healthy and sustainable development. And Hong Kong has indeed provided a good environment for the development of the collections market. In addition to the traditional industry of auction, a new circulation field, collections trading, has gradually formed.

With a stable and healthy development environment, under the background of the sustained and stable growth of China"s overall economy, the atmosphere of the overseas collections market is in sharp contrast to that of the domestic market in winter. Recently, stimulated by the warming of A shares, the overseas collection market has ushered in a wave of Xiaoyangchun. In fact, if we look at the market cycle longer, although the overseas collection market has made rapid development in recent years, the whole industry is still in the early stage of development, and the overall valuation of the collection market is still at a low level compared with the historical high. As an alternative channel for asset allocation, overseas collections trading market deserves attention.

當前的經濟形勢下，具有前瞻目光和遠大魄力的社會財富精英紛紛探索未來的市場熱點，提前布局，以期在新的市場熱點逐漸走向繁盛、成為財富熱點的時候獨佔鰲頭，引領緊急發展的潮流，收穫最多的財富。

用互聯網思維和金融化運作的方式改造具有深厚底蘊的傳統產業，是當前全球經濟的趨勢和方向，也是最有市場價值的掘金點。

具體到文物藝術品行業，文物藝術品的金融化、鑒定與交易的互聯網化，以及文物藝術品的增值服務和衍生服務，是藝術品行業也是文化產業的主流方向和發展趨勢，將會譜寫著未來全球經濟的財富傳奇。

Under the current economic situation, the social wealth elites with foresight and great courage have explored the future market hot spots and laid out ahead of time in order to take the lead when the new market hot spots gradually become prosperous and become the hot spots of wealth, leading the trend of emergency development and reaping the most wealth.

It is the trend and direction of the current global economy to transform the traditional industries with profound implications by means of Internet thinking and financial operation, and it is also the most valuable gold digging point in the market.

Specifically to the industry of cultural relics and arts, the financialization of cultural relics and arts, the Internet-based identification and trading of cultural relics and arts, as well as the value-added services and derivative services of cultural relics and arts, are the mainstream direction and development trend of the art industry as well as the cultural industry, and will compose the wealth legend of the future global economy.

文物藝術品尤其是流傳有序的經典文物藝術品，因為具有巨大的歷史文化價值和藝術價值，是極具稀缺性的收藏資源，是社會財富精英乃至十幾億國民競相追捧的對象，它的市場價格也在不斷創造著新的天價和紀錄。

文物藝術品的成交價格是由社會財富的整體水平和集中程度決定的，最富有的社會財富精英擁有的財產多寡直接決定經典文物藝術品的市場成交價格，並且在和平的社會條件下，經濟持續發展，文物藝術品的價格就會持續攀升。

因此，文物藝術品特別是經典文物藝術品，是當前社會最能保值、最能增值的投資對象。

Cultural relics and artworks, especially classical ones, which spread orderly, have huge historical and cultural values and artistic values. They are extremely scarce collection resources. They are sought after by the elites of social wealth and even billions of people. Their market prices are also constantly creating new sky-high prices and records.

The transaction price of cultural relics and artworks is determined by the overall level and concentration of social wealth. The amount of property owned by the wealthiest social wealth elite directly determines the transaction price of classical cultural relics and artworks in the market. Under peaceful social conditions, the price of cultural relics and artworks will continue to rise with the sustained development of economy.

Therefore, cultural relics and artworks, especially classical ones, are the most value-preserving and value-added investment objects in the current society.

文物藝術品的金融化是把文物藝術品作為金融工具，用金融運作的方式實現財富增值，使其成為風險可控、收益可期的理財工具。

文物藝術品金融化的形式有藝術品產權交易、藝術品基金、藝術品銀行、藝術品按揭、藝術品抵押、藝術品租賃等，文物藝術品的衍生品也能納入藝術品金融的領域。

文物藝術品金融化的關鍵在於文物藝術品的鑒定和評估，文物藝術品金融化的風險集中於鑒定和評估的階段，這也是文物藝術品金融化瓶頸。

The financialization of cultural relics and artworks is to use cultural relics and artworks as financial instruments to realize wealth appreciation by means of financial operation, making them financial instruments with controllable risks and predictable returns.

The forms of financialization of cultural relics and artworks include property rights trading, art fund, art bank, art mortgage, art mortgage, art rental, etc. Derivatives of cultural relics and artworks can also be incorporated into the field of art finance.

The key to the financialization of cultural relics and artworks lies in the appraisal and evaluation of cultural relics and artworks. The risk of financialization of cultural relics and artworks concentrates on the stage of appraisal and evaluation, which is also the bottleneck of the financialization of cultural relics and artworks.

運用科技也好，結合科技加傳統也罷，一旦解決了文物藝術品真偽鑒定問題，文物藝術品金融化就象勢不可擋的滾滾洪流，在文化產業的眾多門類中首屈一指，並在國家的鼓勵和引導下，文物藝術品市場形勢將一片大好。

Using science and technology, combining science and technology with tradition, once the problem of authenticity identification of cultural relics and artworks has been solved, the financialization of cultural relics and artworks is like an irresistible torrent, which ranks first among many categories of cultural industry. With the encouragement and guidance of the state, the market situation of cultural relics and artworks will be very good.

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